Monday 24 October 2011

Session 10 - A Peek Into The Future

Glad or not, we're approaching the end of Semester 1 in a few weeks' time! And life has been really tough..
Currently surviving on encouragement from friends around me. I want to enjoy school life! ARGH!
Ok anyway, shall start the actual blogpost or my rantings will just go on and on and on..

Just ended session 10 on Technology Assessment and Forecasting; Developing a Framework. I felt kind of lost during the lecture as it seems like a summary of the many topics we've gone through since week 1. However, this module really changed my way of thinking about possibilities. All I could say is that, I used to think that this world is filled with lots of impossibilities, especially with regards to technology but time and time again, I was proven wrong and in fact, many inventions have, no doubt, amazed me. Just simply awed by everything.

To progress well in this world, one has to have a forward-oriented perspective of things. And this means that we have to look ahead of our current situation and forecast our future; be able to see what we will be like many years down the road. As quoted from Winston Churchill, "The empires of the future are the empires of the mind."

What it is trying to imply is that, if you can imagine it, then it can happen. Now, I'm really curious about teleportation, since this term has been mentioned several times during class, and even among peers. I would really like to see this happen some time soon. Imagining myself walking into a tiny little room, pressing a button and POOF! Gone and teleported to somewhere else! Seems too unreal or maybe I watched too much of Harry Potter kind of movies. Just so unconvinced that it can really happen. Also, I wonder what will the world come to if teleportation really exist because if that time really comes, it would mean that technology is far more advanced than anyone can think of. Life would be just like everything in the movies! Omg, too cool.

Back to reality now. We discussed the various drivers for technology assessment and forecasting, such as the exponential growth and significance of the changing world, the need to gain an understanding of the type of changes that new technology might bring; where and whether is it worth investing in them or not. There was another quote related to drivers of change is this: "The best way to predict the future is to invent it." - Alan Kay. Basically, it's trying to say that instead of being a victim of change, you have to drive the change.

As analysed, change is inevitable and that's extremely true. No matter how you want them to change. The only option is to ACCEPT and ADAPT. I liked the idea of the presenter in the youtube video. Here's the acronyms he used to represent the word F.U.T.U.R.E.:

Fast
Urban
Tribal (New tribes in the world; New interest)
Universal
Radical
Ethical (Ethics in business)

Those are the general factors about the future and true enough, we will also have insecurity in globalisation. As it advances, power will also be more diffused than before - Rising Power.

Prof also gave a simple analogy - A crumpled piece of paper VS a new creaseless paper. There are two approaches:
1. To start working from the current situation (resembled by the crumpled piece of paper)
2. To paint a new big picture on the creaseless paper; See what you want the future to be like.

We went on to discuss about Delphi Approach and the various foresight methodologies that are commonly used.

And this session has many many readings! Eight of them but I admit that I didn't really have the chance to read all of them as it has been a really hectic week for me (Been sleeping in the wee hours of the morning and waking up at 5.20am to prepare for projects, lessons and more)

Again, there were interesting and engaging presentations by classmates. The video on the hunter shooting the bear really caught my attention and I want to know how did the man in the video stick his hand out to get the correction tape! Here's the video to keep as reference!


Might not work here. Recommended to try it out in youtube itself. :)

Rating for this session: 8/10!
And that's all for now! 2 sessions remaining~

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